Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Reuters: Mergers News: TEXT-S&P rates Eastman Chemical notes 'BBB'

Reuters: Mergers News
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TEXT-S&P rates Eastman Chemical notes 'BBB'
May 29th 2012, 18:20

Tue May 29, 2012 2:20pm EDT

  May 29 - Overview         -- U.S.-based diversified chemical producer Eastman Chemical Co.   plans to issue approximately $2.3 billion of senior unsecured notes to partly  finance its planned acquisition of U.S.-based specialty chemical maker Solutia  Inc.           -- We are assigning a 'BBB' to the new notes.             -- All our other ratings on Eastman, including the 'BBB' corporate credit    rating, remain unchanged.              -- The stable outlook reflects our belief in Eastman's ability and intent    to strengthen its financial profile to levels appropriate for the ratings         within two years.                             Rating Action     On May 29, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services assigned its 'BBB' senior     unsecured debt rating to Eastman Chemical Co.'s proposed offering of      approximately $2.3 billion of senior unsecured notes with five-, 10-, and         30-year maturities. The company plans to use the proceeds, along with proceeds    from a $1.2 billion five-year unsecured term loan, up to 15.8 million shares      of Eastman common stock (valued at about $780 million at the current share        price), and cash on hand to finance its approximately $5 billion acquisition      of Solutia Inc. (BB/Watch Pos/--). This amount includes funds to refinance        Solutia's outstanding debt and estimated transaction costs. The parties expect    the transaction, which is subject to Solutia shareholder approval and     customary closing conditions, to close by mid-2012.                 All our other ratings on Eastman, including the 'BBB' corporate credit rating,    remain unchanged. The outlook is stable.                    Rationale         The acquisition of Solutia would strengthen Eastman's business risk profile to    "strong" from "satisfactory." The purchase, the price of which represents         about 10x Solutia's last-12-month EBITDA (excluding expected cost and tax         benefits), would add a substantial specialty chemical business with high and      relatively stable operating margins to Eastman's portfolio. We believe it         should enhance Eastman's competitive position by adding some complementary        technologies and accelerating access to high-growth markets, particularly in      Asia. We also believe that it would improve manufacturing site, product,          geographic, and end-market diversity. Moreover, Eastman should benefit from       increased overall size and scale, and lower capital intensity. Finally, the       acquisition appears to offer the opportunity for meaningful tax and cost          synergies. The integration has a high probability of success given Eastman's      experienced management team and recent track record with smaller transactions     and because its plans do not call for major operational restructuring.              Solutia's businesses consist of:               -- Technical Specialties (43% of 2011 revenues) includes insoluble sulfur    (a vulcanizing agent for tires), heat-transfer fluids, aviation hydraulic         fluids, and rubber chemicals;          -- Advanced Interlayers (43%) includes PVB (polyvinyl butyral)       interlayers and resins (the former increase the functionality of glass by         enhancing strength, flexibility, and safety); and              -- Performance Films (14%) includes specialty films for use in windows,      touch screens, and handheld electronic devices.             Eastman's primary products include:            -- Acetate fibers used in cigarette filters and other filters and    textiles;              -- Coatings, additives, solvents, and resins used in paints and adhesives;        -- Performance chemicals and intermediates used in a wide variety of         applications; and              -- Specialty plastics.                 Although Eastman's operating profitability remains subject to industry    cyclicality and raw material cost swings, in recent years management has          increased the level and stability of operating profits through various actions    including acquisitions and divestitures, new product development, product line    extensions, and raw material sourcing. The acquisition of Solutia should          further increase margins and enhance stability. As a result, we expect    Eastman's operating profitability to become more typical of a specialty,          rather than commodity, chemical producer, with EBITDA margins averaging about     20%. Although the cost of the acquisition initially depresses return on           capital somewhat, we think pretax return on capital is likely to gradually        strengthen from approximately 15%, pro forma for the acquisition.                   Despite these credit strengths, the transaction increases debt leverage and       weakens cash flow protection measures. Following the transaction, we expect       debt (which we adjust to include unfunded postretirement and environmental        liabilities and capitalized operating leases) to total about $6.6 billion, and    pro forma debt to EBITDA (before synergies) to be about 3.5x. However, the        improved business risk assessment, coupled with the issuance of about $780        million of equity (at Eastman's current share price) and the use of $500          million to $600 million in cash on hand to partially finance the transaction,     is sufficient to maintain the ratings and outlook. The company's          cash-generating ability and our expectation that management will make debt        reduction a high priority in the years immediately following the acquisition      are critical to maintaining the ratings. One year following the acquisition,      we expect the ratio of funds from operations (FFO) to total adjusted debt to      be in the low-20% area, and we expect this ratio to strengthen to about 25% by    the end of year two. Given Eastman's strong business risk profile following       the transaction, we expect this ratio to be 25% to 30% after those two years.               We continue to view Eastman's financial policy as moderate. In addition to        management's commitment to credit quality, we factor in its track record of       prudent financial policies. These include substantial actions to conserve cash    during the 2008-2009 recession and the strengthening of the financial profile     in advance of the Solutia acquisition beyond what is required for the current     ratings.                              Liquidity                   We regard Eastman's liquidity as "adequate" (as defined by our criteria). At      closing of the Solutia acquisition, we expect Eastman's liquidity to consist      primarily of full or nearly full availability under its $750 million revolving    credit facility maturing in 2016 and a $250 million accounts receivable           securitization program maturing in 2015. Headroom under the 3.5x maximum debt     to EBITDA covenant in the company's credit facilities will decline but remain     adequate, in our view.                      By the second year following the transaction, we expect Eastman to generate       more than $400 million of annual discretionary cash flow. This is after           midsize pension contributions, meaningful investment in working capital to        support sales growth, capital spending we estimate will average roughly $600      million in each of the next few years, and dividends that could increase          modestly from a pro forma level of about $160 million.              Until credit measures have strengthened to the appropriate levels for the         ratings, we expect Eastman to direct discretionary cash flow primarily to debt    reduction, including term loan amortization and scheduled note maturities in      2015.                         Outlook   The stable outlook reflects moderate financial policies that should support       our investment-grade ratings on the company. In the years immediately     following Eastman's acquisition of Solutia, we expect share repurchases to be     minimal and additional debt-financed acquisitions to be very limited. Credit      measures should meet our expectations even in the face of only modest global      economic growth this year. Nevertheless, we could lower the ratings if FFO to     total adjusted debt were to drop below 20% with limited near-term prospects       for recovery. We believe this could occur if revenue growth slowed to 1.5%        from expected pro forma 2012 levels and EBITDA margins dropped to about 17%       from roughly 20%.                             Related Criteria And Research                    -- Methodology And Assumptions: Liquidity Descriptors For Global     Corporate Issuers, Sept. 28, 2011              -- Business Risk/Financial Risk Matrix Expanded, May 27, 2009             -- Key Credit Factors: Business And Financial Risks In The Commodity And     Specialty Chemical Industry, Nov. 20, 2008                            Ratings List      Eastman Chemical Co.       Corporate Credit Rating                             BBB/Stable/A-2                 New Rating                  Eastman Chemical Co.       Senior Unsecured notes due 2017                     BBB                           Senior Unsecured notes due 2022                     BBB                           Senior Unsecured notes due 2042                     BBB                                      Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect on      the Global Credit Portal at www.globalcreditportal.com. All ratings affected      by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at        www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left          column.  
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